Author Archives: circleof13

The Secret History of Polymarket – Part 1

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“…Part I of a two-part series exposing the truth behind the world’s most popular prediction market and its dark ambitions to alter both markets and representative government forever
[…]
During the past couple of years, Polymarket and Kalshi have become important components of reporting on global finance and politics. This is partially due to their extensive cultivation of wide-ranging media partnerships. For instance, in the case of Polymarket, the company now boast partnerships with the Wall Street Journal and its parent company Dow Jones, as well as Yahoo! Finance, Substack and the live-streaming platform Parti. While these partnerships have been framed as an effort to further legitimize prediction markets, concerns have been raised that these media partnerships could be used to intentionally manipulate these very markets via the implantation of false and misleading stories.
[…]
By following in the footsteps of his admitted idol, Zuckerberg, and backed by funding from Thiel-linked sources, Coplan has managed to resurrect the Policy Analysis Market (PAM), one of the most controversial Pentagon programs from its now defunct Information Awareness Office (IAO). Tellingly, his efforts to launch Polymarket included direct communication with one of the main architects of the PAM program and he was also greatly influenced by another apparent Thiel-linked effort to resurrect PAM that failed.

Importantly, Coplan’s apparent re-brand of PAM –– often referred to in the past as the “Terrorism Futures Market” ––is about more than just reaping mega-profits in an era where insider trading and financial corruption are flourishing with the White House’s blessing. As will be explored in Part II of this series, an ulterior motive directly linked to Coplan’s efforts aims to advance an extremely dystopian governance model that is of great interest to the Big Tech billionaires now closely linked to Coplan and the dominant prediction market companies, such as Peter Thiel and Marc Andreessen.
[…]
DARPA was also interested in prediction markets for other reasons, as some of the agency’s managers also “believed a prediction market could serve as an aggregation mechanism capable of bypassing bureaucratic and political obstacles to information sharing” among U.S. national security agencies. This “belief” is directly related to efforts of those same national security agencies immediately after the 9/11 attacks to blame the “siloeing of information” within agencies for the supposed “failure of imagination” that allowed the attacks to occur despite the ostensible efforts of the U.S. intelligence apparatus. This is, of course, despite the copious evidence pointing to the direct involvement of intelligence agencies in the 9/11 attacks and in the efforts to stifle any meaningful investigation into those attacks. Nevertheless, the intelligence community’s own narrative, backed by intelligence-linked contractors like Oracle’s Larry Ellison, was that extensive information sharing between federal agencies and their main contractors was necessary to prevent another 9/11-style attack from occurring.

These narratives set the stage for the deployment of intelligence-linked software programs that were promoted as solving these problems, first of Christine Maxwell’s Chiliad (Christine is Ghislaine Maxwell’s sister) and followed by Peter Thiel’s Palantir. Then-CIA Chief Information Officer Alan Wade was closely connected to the origins of both Chiliad and Palantir. He had also been a close working partner of the DARPA office that would later host the surveillance program Total Information Awareness (TIA), a Palantir predecessor, as well as the DARPA-backed prediction market Hanson would help create.
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One of the reasons that TokenUnion has seemingly been erased from current narratives about both Coplan and Polymarket may lie in the TokenUnion’s close partnership and integration with Bancor. Bancor was created by Guy and Galia Benartzi, the nephew and niece of long-time and current Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Galia Benartzi, immediately prior to creating Bancor, had been a partner at Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, where she helped lead the firm’s investments in Israel. One of the main tokens showcased in TokenUnion’s promotional material is Bancor’s BNT token and Bancor is listed among its small list of official partners. TokenUnion’s whitepaper also touted its “integration” with Bancor as one of its platform’s main advantages.

Bancor advisor Lou Kerner was also a TokenUnion advisor, alongside Jim Haft, with whom Kerner created CryptoOracle. CryptoOracle was founded in 2017 and, at the time its founders advised Coplan’s TokenUnion, it focused on supporting “early-stage blockchain firms.” This strongly suggests that CryptoOracle had backed Coplan’s company, which later claimed to have “raised millions in a private presale” from undisclosed sources. Like Bancor, CryptoOracle is also listed as a TokenUnion partner.

Kerner has major connections to the Israeli tech start-up scene, which even former Mossad directors have noted is stuffed with Israeli intelligence veterans and which –– per official Israeli policy –– is full of Israeli intelligence fronts posing as private companies in order to execute projects that were previously performed “in-house” by the Israeli intelligence apparatus. Kerner, who boasts close ties to AIPAC, previously led the Israel Founders Syndicate and is a current advisor of the Israeli Blockchain Association. Kerner is also partnered in an Israeli tech incubator alongside Glilot Capital. Glilot Capital was created by two Israeli military intelligence veterans who invest specifically in “entrepreneurs who emerge from the elite Unit 8200” signals intelligence unit, often likened to Israel’s equivalent of the NSA…”

~ Full article…

Britain Bought the Suez Canal in 1875. In 1956, One American Phone Call Took It Back

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On 6 November 1956 the British and French armies were winning at Suez. Their paratroopers held Port Said, the Egyptian air force was destroyed, and the road south was open.

Then London stopped — mid-advance, without telling Paris.

The reason has been told for seventy years as a single phone call from Washington. There is a transcript of that call, and in it the President is being warm.

This documentary follows what actually happened: a fixed exchange rate of 2.80 dollars to the pound that Britain had privately sworn never to abandon, gold reserves published every single month, a two-billion-dollar floor that sat just below what the world could cash in overnight, and a creditor whose opposition was enough to close the door at the IMF.

It also follows the detail almost every retelling omits — the ceasefire bought Britain nothing. The money only moved after 3 December, when Britain agreed to leave completely.

Sourced to the IMF archives (Boughton), the Bank of England’s daily dealers’ reports (Klug & Smith), Hansard and the US diplomatic record.

~ Video…

The Rothschild Who Bought the Bank of England in a Single Day — The 1815 Waterloo Coup

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In June 1815, Napoleon fell at Waterloo — and one banker in London supposedly turned that battle into the greatest fortune in history overnight. You’ve heard the story: Nathan Rothschild watched the battle, raced the news home, crashed the market, and bought it all at the bottom. There’s just one problem. Almost none of that is true. The real story is stranger, better documented, and far more unsettling. It’s a story of smuggled gold, sovereign debt, information asymmetry, and a bet so bold his own brothers begged him to stop. Using the Rothschild Archive’s primary records and historian Niall Ferguson’s authoritative account, we separate the documented truth from a 19th-century lie that still poisons the internet today. This is how money — not muskets — really decided the age of Napoleon, and why we’re still living inside the machine it built.

~ Video…

Winston Churchill Was Funded By Bankers in 1938 — The Deal That Nobody Teaches In School

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Winston Churchill is one of the most mythologised figures in modern history. The bulldog. The lion. The man whose voice held civilisation together. But behind the speeches, the cigars, and the legend was a man who could not pay his bills — and a group of wealthy bankers who quietly decided to do it for him.

This is the documented story of how Churchill’s political survival was financed from the outside. How a private network called the Focus in Defence of Freedom and Peace put up the equivalent of millions in today’s money to keep his platform operational. How an Austrian-born City of London banker named Henry Strakosch stepped in to clear his debts and pull Chartwell back from the auction block. And how the Czech government was secretly channelling funds to the same anti-appeasement operation Churchill was fronting.

None of this is conspiracy theory. The files are open at the Churchill Archive in Cambridge. The names are real. The cheques were real. And the questions they raise about who really funded Britain’s war have never been fully answered by the comfortable version of this history.

This video covers the Focus Group, the financial rescues, the Munich moment, and the extraordinary circumstances that placed a nearly bankrupt backbencher into Ten Downing Street at the most critical hour in British history.

~ Video…

Esquire: ‘Turns Out, There Really Is a Cabal of Elite Crazies Trying to Control the World’

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“…What ties the roster together more than any title or office is a shared preoccupation with artificial intelligence, longevity, and the near future. Asked on a sign-up form to predict the future, registrants returned again and again to the same theme: that AI will reorder work, war, education, and belief within a few years. Several foresee mass labor displacement and a swing back toward unions and government programs; others predict an “AI winter,” domestic terrorism targeting data centers, criminal defendants choosing AI lawyers over public defenders, or religious revival provoked by the disruption. “Societal degeneration,” predicted one person, “will continue to accelerate.”…”

~ Full article…

Honest Government Ad — Palantir

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From The Juice Media:

The Government™ has made an ad about Palantir, and it’s surprsingly honest and informative.

“…Hello I’m from the Government™ with an update on Humanity’s gentle slide back into Feudalism As foretold in Scriptures, like Idiocracy and Back to the Future 2…”

~ Video~

‘The pattern is consistent: US defence contractor’s profit. Australian taxpayers pay. Australian sovereignty erodes. And the political class, captured by the alliance, asks no serious questions.’

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Source: Less Than Nothing – What the American Security Guarantee Really Costs Australia

“…Under AUKUS, Australia is committing hundreds of billions of dollars to acquire nuclear‑powered submarines – a capability whose strategic rationale for Australia has never been adequately explained, whose costs continue to escalate, and whose primary beneficiary is the US defence industry.

The Greens have announced a plan to axe AUKUS, noting that South Australian universities have received over $1.5 million from the United States Department of Defence, and public schools are partnering with defence organisations such as BAE Systems to run programs that lead to defence careers. The Greens have called for legislation requiring universities and public schools to disclose and divest from any partnerships with weapons manufacturers.

Senator Barbara Pocock has stated: “While Labor wastes billions on AUKUS, thousands of South Australians are deep in a housing crisis – the worst in living memory.”
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What Is an American Security Guarantee Really Worth?

Mark Beeson of the University of Technology Sydney argues that the post‑WWII era of “benign US hegemony” is over. The Trump administration’s “America First” agenda imposes tariffs even on allies and demands unquestioning support for controversial policies. “Policymakers in Australia feel duty‑bound to argue that the alliance is unaffected… but the arguments are increasingly unpersuasive.”

The US National Defence Strategy (NDS), released in January 2026, makes no mention of Australia by name – but its implications are clear. The NDS calls for “model allies” who are “spending as they need to” and notes that the US will “advocate that our allies and partners meet this standard around the world, not just in Europe.”

Malcolm Davis of ASPI warns that while Australia’s defence spending is currently about 2.05 per cent of GDP, rising to 2.33 per cent by 2033, the US expects 5 per cent – the standard being pushed on NATO.

An American security guarantee, under these terms, is not a gift. It is a subscription. And the price keeps rising…”

‘ACLED CEO Prof. Clionadh Raleigh’s take on the public effects of corruption on conflict, and other observations on the state of the world.’

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Source: Raleigh Report – May 2026

“…We must grapple with the public effects of corruption on conflict. By corruption, I mean the practices and perception of it, in small and large ways, across politics, the economy, and society. The daily corruptions that make people think that they are bearing the costs for decisions and benefits made and enjoyed by a small group, or that there are no consequences for those who can wield their power. And by conflict, I mean the violence that surrounds us here — not in far-off places. Massive changes in violence are coming, and these will require support for security and state violence, recruitment into security services, commitment to short and long-term political goals, and shared agreement about which conflict is valid and which isn’t.

The public’s attitude and position on violence and conflict is hardly the primary consequence of corruption — but it is one outcome, and since you are here to think about conflict, join in.

My central thesis is this: People will accept conflict and its costs when they believe their sacrifice matters — when they can see that their support is essential, and that the benefits, now or in the future, are real. They accept it when they know national security is a shared goal worthy of a person’s effort and support. But when citizens can no longer connect the decisions of their leaders to any tangible benefit for their country, and the costs keep rising, that resolve collapses. Faith in political leadership erodes. And when people believe their society or political system is in desperate need of change — yet nothing changes — apathy and anger grow, rather than action. That is when the social fabric begins to fray.

The corruptions that people are forced to live with have now stripped away their agency. And people who have lost their agency go looking for it. Extreme politics offers that promise. But extreme politics never restores cooperation; it replaces it with power plays — internal and external — and, increasingly, with violence.

My broader worry is that something fundamental has shifted in how our societies function, and that shift has left us dangerously unprepared for what is coming. As global power realigns, our living standards will decline, and we will discover that our security institutions cannot restore order where it breaks down. The quality of our political ideas — and those who represent them and us — will continue to deteriorate. No one is coming to fix it. Those who said they would have failed, and will fail again…”